Subtitle:

Książka = Book ; KS/1/1989/P01

Publisher:

Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk ; Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences

Place of publishing:

Warszawa

Description:

[2], 7-28 pages ; 21 cm ; Bibliography p. 26-28

Type of object:

Book/Chapter

Abstract:

There are many approaches, techniques and tools related to the process of forecasting macroeconomic system evolution (development); however, the history of economic science shows that all of them have been strongly influenced by classical physics methodology. The paper analyzes the modelling possibilities of the long-term macroeconomic system evolution based on· the results obtained in the past few years in modern physics, synergetics, the theory of nonlinear dynamic systems, the theory of irręversible processes far from the state of thermodynamic equilibrium, etc. The paper discusses the basie generał-system rules and laws of development in the context of the macroeconomic system evolution modelling. It shows the time structure of this process drawing attention to its continuous-step character and the quantitative-qualitative changes taking place in it. It focuses attention on the determinism and stochasticity of the macroeconomic'system development process as well as on the role of comp'lexity and nonlinearity, stability and instability in the course of this process. Special emphasis is put on the need of changing the traditional way of thinking of economists and considering economic problems frankly from a stochastic point of view.

Relation:

Książka = Book

Detailed Resource Type:

Book

Resource Identifier:

oai:rcin.org.pl:205716

Source:

KS-1989-01-P01

Language:

eng

Language of abstract:

eng

Rights:

Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license

Terms of use:

Copyright-protected material. [CC BY 4.0] May be used within the scope specified in Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license, full text available at: ; -

Digitizing institution:

Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Original in:

Library of Systems Research Institute PAS

Projects co-financed by:

Operational Program Digital Poland, 2014-2020, Measure 2.3: Digital accessibility and usefulness of public sector information; funds from the European Regional Development Fund and national co-financing from the state budget.

Access:

Open