Title:

Proceedings of the 3rd Italian-Polish conference on applications of systems theory to economy, management and technology: Białowieża, Poland, May 26-31, 1976 * Technological management and information systems * Organization aspects of the system of forecating the level of fulfillment of economic plans

Subtitle:

Książka = Book ; KS/1/1977/R03P08

Creator:

Pawłowski, Zbigniew

Publisher:

Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk ; Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences

Place of publishing:

Warszawa

Date issued/created:

1977

Description:

[4], 341-349 pages ; 21 cm ; Bibliography p. 348

Type of object:

Book/Chapter

Abstract:

The paper deals with the main features of the information system aimed at providing predictions of the level of fulfillment of economic plans, this system being set within the framework of the socialist planned economy. Such predictive system should provide planners and economic managers with sufficiently accurate predictions referring to all the relevant economic variables and to all levels of the economy If such predictions are to be practically useful, howeve1, the system must obey some requirements which are broadly dealt with in the paper. Special attention is devoted to the following problems:1. The problem of adequate prediction lead. 2. The field of possible uses of prediction data for management and control of the economy. 3. The optimum frequency of building new predictions. 4. Comparability and consistency of different predictions. 5. Admissible predictions and statistical measures of the accuracy of prediction when forthcoming predictions are used for making new drcisions. Special emphasis is laid on problems of short-run prediction, i.e. prediction with prediction lead not exceeding one year.

Relation:

Książka = Book

Resource type:

Text

Detailed Resource Type:

Book

Source:

KS-1977-01-R03P08

Language:

eng

Language of abstract:

eng

Rights:

Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license

Terms of use:

Copyright-protected material. [CC BY 4.0] May be used within the scope specified in Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license, full text available at: ; -

Digitizing institution:

Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Original in:

Library of Systems Research Institute PAS

Projects co-financed by:

Operational Program Digital Poland, 2014-2020, Measure 2.3: Digital accessibility and usefulness of public sector information; funds from the European Regional Development Fund and national co-financing from the state budget.

Access:

Open